If a large portion of the debt consists of short-term financing, this could indicate rollover risk. The company relies on regular refinancing, which can lead to liquidity problems in the event of deteriorating market conditions or credit terms(*).
Rollover risk is particularly problematic when there is already a high level of debt. High debt levels and high debt service costs can create default risks, potentially leading to bankruptcy.
(*) Source: Sander Lammers, Friso Scheepstra and Adam Elbourne. Een analyse van Nederlandse bedrijfsschulden. Centraal Planbureau, June 2024.
If the company has a very low balance sheet total, this may indicate minimal business activity or an "empty shell" structure where the company is barely active in regular business operations.
While a low balance sheet in itself is not necessarily problematic, it does complicate the assessment of actual business operations and financial performance. It may also indicate insufficient resources to achieve corporate objectives or meet future obligations.
With a structurally low balance sheet size, it is advisable to critically evaluate the company's continuity. Smaller companies have an increased risk of bankruptcy(*).
(*) Source: Gupta et al. (2015). Forecasting bankruptcy for SMEs using hazard function: To what extent does size matter?. Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 45(4), 845-869.
